Thursday Review

I AM STUPID!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I won £8 tonight, about a 7% bank increase yet i am gutted. It should've been so much more but i put some bets on in-running for no reason. i backed silly odds on silly bets and even though they were small they add up and probably cost me £10 or more. I was hoping this blog would help me keep away from these but it hasnt, i need more discipline!!!!!!

Anyway here are my bets for tomorrows early matches

Cracovia K v Widzew Lodz - BACK Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.14 (to win £5.70 or lose £5.00)
R W Essen v G Furth - LAY Essen @ 2.96 (to win £2.55 or lose £5.00)
Bursaspor v Trabzonspor - Lay Trabzonspor @ 2.90 & 2.92 (to win £2.60 or lose £5)
Sp Lisbon v Benfica - BACK Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.49 (to win £2.45 or lose £5)

Good Wednesday

Great Wednesday of betting, made a big increase in my bank.

Leverkusen were as poor as i thought and it will pay to keep laying them this season.

Ok, onto tonight and first up is a bet i dont normally do which is back an away side. I normally prefer to lay the home side but Espanyol are a hige price at 5/1 away vs a poor and out of form Ajax side.

I was thinking of laying Newcastle but they are too umpredicable so i'm leaving that alone but i will be laying 2 away sides. PSG away to Mlada Boleslav and Sparta Prague away to Austria Vienna.

My main bet however is in the Nancy v Feyenoord match. Both teams can score goals and i think the price of Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals is very high. The French teams seem to have a reputation as boring but at home Nancy have been involved in games with over 2.5 goals in 5 out of the last 10 and Feyenoord have amazingly had 9 games out of 10 away involve 3 or more

Bets for Thursday 30th Nov
Ajax v Espanyol - BACK Espanyol @ 6.2 (to win £13 or lose £2.50)
Mlada Boleslav v Paris St-G - LAY Paris St-G @ 2.92 (to win £2.60 or lose £5)
Austria Vienna v Sparta Prague - LAY S Prague @ 2.9 (to win £2.63 or lose £5)
Celta Vigo v Fenerbahce - BACK Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.45 (to win £2.25 or lose £5)
Wisla Krakow v Basel - BACK Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.98 (to win £4.9o or lose £5)
Nancy v Feyenoord - BACK Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.39 (to win £9.75 or lose £25)
Nancy v Feyenoord - BACK Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.38 & 2.16 (to win £12.70 or lose £10)

Tonights matches

A big lay for me, and my main bet of the night, is Bayer Leverkusen away v Dinamo Bucharest. They are 3.4 and from all reports and previews i have read they will be happy with a draw. They have been in poor form but won on sunday at home to Cottbus. I watched the match v Spurs last thursday and they were poor. Dinamo Bucharest on the other hand are in great form and will be up for this with a partizan crowd behind them. I will be watching this one and may have a few bets in running as well

Also a small lay on Arsenal away v Fulham. How are they 1.52? I dont care about the opposition, this Arsenal side should not, on current form be 1.52. They might win easily, but i am happy to lay. I took some at 1.67 yesterday and couldnt believe the odds today so laid a little more.

Bets for Wednesday 29th Nov

Fulham v Arsenal - LAY Arsenal @ 1.65 & 1.51 (to win £5.07 or lose £3.06)
Dinamo Bucharest v Bayer Leverkusen - Lay Leverkusen @ 3.4 (to win £6.25 or lose £15)
Grasshoppers v Sevilla - BACK Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.32 (to win £1.60 or lose £5)
Livorno v Maccabi Haifa - LAY Livorno @ 1.78 (to win £2.56 or lose £2)
Liverpool v Portsmouth - BACK Liverpool clean sheet @ 1.92 (to win £2.3 or lose £2.50)
Southampton v Birmingham - LAY Southampton @ 2.5 (to in £2 or lose £3)

First bet on the blog

I've been doing alot of bets in the total goals market and have had some good results

1 goals or more is a particular favorite of mine, short odds i know but you can get a good run of results and keep the bank ticking over

Tomorrow night is fairly busy and i have had £10 on a few matches to have at least 1 goal in them

Roma v Triestina @ 1.06
Grasshoppers v Sevilla @ 1.08
Lens v Parma @ 1.11
Aston Villa v Man City @ 1.11
Derby v Ipswich @ 1.08

I will lay some teams i think are too short tomorrow as well, i am particularly keen to lay Bayer Leverkusen away vs an in form Dinamo Bucharest and i will list a few other lays tomorrow night after some more research

Welcome

Here we go then...........

Ive been messing around on betfair for a while and about a month ago i got my bank up to £700 (alot for me) but stupid bets and ill discipline ending with me having just £25 last Monday.

It was truly the lowest point of my gambling life. I've never felt so sick in my life. I had worked hard to build up my bank and within 6 days, starting with Portugal v Kazakhstan of all matches, i had blown nearly it all.

I was tempted to re deposit but i realised that it doesnt matter what my bank is, if i cannot manage it properly i will lose in the long run

I have scraped my way back up to £97.21 and this is where we begin

I am going to stop backing and am going to concentrate on laying

Keeping this blog up to date and telling you all about my bets will hopefully keep me on the straight and narrow as i build my bank